孟添, 余继超, 陆岷峰. 可解释人工智能驱动下全业态智能投顾可信服务体系的理论框架及发展路径J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (4): 72-80.
引用本文: 孟添, 余继超, 陆岷峰. 可解释人工智能驱动下全业态智能投顾可信服务体系的理论框架及发展路径J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (4): 72-80.
Meng Tian, Yu Jichao, Lu Minfeng. Theoretical Framework and Development Path of Trustworthy Service System for Full-Format Robo-Advisory Driven by Explainable Artificial IntelligenceJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (4): 72-80.
Citation: Meng Tian, Yu Jichao, Lu Minfeng. Theoretical Framework and Development Path of Trustworthy Service System for Full-Format Robo-Advisory Driven by Explainable Artificial IntelligenceJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (4): 72-80.

可解释人工智能驱动下全业态智能投顾可信服务体系的理论框架及发展路径

Theoretical Framework and Development Path of Trustworthy Service System for Full-Format Robo-Advisory Driven by Explainable Artificial Intelligence

  • 摘要: 智能投顾普遍存在“算法黑箱”问题,可能引发投资者信任危机与跨业态风险传导,亟需探讨发展具有透明度与合规性的可信服务体系。本文基于可解释人工智能技术,构建涵盖算法透明度、监管嵌入性与业态异质性的三维架构,探索提出构建全业态智能投顾可信服务体系的总体思路。第一,搭建风险定价模型解释力分级体系L1~L4,根据产品风险程度由低至高,分别采用广义线性或浅层决策树模型、随机森林模型叠加LIME方法、动态贝叶斯网络、结构因果模型与反事实推演,实现模型解释力与金融产品风险等级动态匹配。第二,设计监管能见度指数,以算法透明度、客户认知度和产品风险惩罚的非线性组合,客观度量“黑箱”引发的信息不对称程度,并据此设置不同阈值,分别实施业务中止、增补解释、持续风险监测和列入合规白名单等监管措施。第三,在不同金融业态中,以“核心解释模块+业态插件”的形式嵌入差异化的解释策略。低风险产品侧重解释风险敞口和资金来源;投资人群广泛的产品需分层解释,为普通投资者提供简洁直观的因子说明,为机构投资者提供详细的情景模拟与压力测试结果;长投资周期产品侧重解释长期风险传导链条;高复杂度产品的解释应具有时效性和高维可视化功能。本文为防范算法风险、推动智能投顾可信发展提供了理论支撑与政策启示。

     

    Abstract: Robo-advisory services are plagued by the "algorithmic black box" problem, which may trigger investor trust crises and cross-format risk contagion, necessitating the exploration of the development of a trustworthy service system with transparency and compliance. Based on explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) technology, this study constructs a three-dimensional framework encompassing algorithmic transparency, regulatory embeddedness, and format heterogeneity, explores the overall idea of constructing for a trustworthy service system for full-format robo-advisory. First, a hierarchical system (L1-L4) for risk pricing model explainability is established. According to increasing product risk levels, the system employs generalized linear or shallow decision tree models, random forest models combined with LIME methods, dynamic Bayesian networks, and structural causal models with counterfactual reasoning, respectively, achieving dynamic alignment between model explainability and financial product risk levels. Second, a regulatory visibility index is designed through nonlinear combination of algorithmic transparency, client cognition, and product risk penalties to objectively measure the degree of information asymmetry caused by "black boxes". Based on different thresholds, differentiated regulatory measures are implemented, including business suspension, supplementary explanation, continuous risk monitoring, and inclusion in compliance whitelists. Third, differentiated explanation strategies are embedded across various financial formats through a "core explanation module+format plugin" architecture. Low-risk products emphasizes explaining risk exposure and fund sources; products with a wide range of investors require layered explanation, providing concise and intuitive factor descriptions for retail investors while offering detailed scenario simulations and stress test results for institutional investors; products with long investment cycles focuses on explaining long-term risk transmission chains; products with high complexity explanations should feature timeliness and high-dimensional visualization capabilities. This study provides theoretical support and policy implications for preventing algorithmic risks and promoting trustworthy development of robo-advisory services.

     

/

返回文章
返回