国泰海通证券课题组. 资本市场支持新质生产力发展研究:基于全生命周期的视角[J]. 证券市场导报, 2025, (11): 3-14, 24.
引用本文: 国泰海通证券课题组. 资本市场支持新质生产力发展研究:基于全生命周期的视角[J]. 证券市场导报, 2025, (11): 3-14, 24.
Research Team of Guotai Haitong Securities. Research on Capital Market Support for New Quality Productive Forces Development: A Full Life Cycle Perspective[J]. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (11): 3-14, 24.
Citation: Research Team of Guotai Haitong Securities. Research on Capital Market Support for New Quality Productive Forces Development: A Full Life Cycle Perspective[J]. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (11): 3-14, 24.

资本市场支持新质生产力发展研究:基于全生命周期的视角

Research on Capital Market Support for New Quality Productive Forces Development: A Full Life Cycle Perspective

  • 摘要: 本文基于企业全生命周期视角,聚焦企业各阶段的差异化金融需求与多层次资本市场的产品服务体系,分析资本市场支持新质生产力发展的成效和薄弱环节,并针对性地提出下一步发展方向。研究发现:(1)相较美国DARPA模式和以色列YOZMA基金模式,我国对原创性、颠覆性技术的资助和投资仍处于起步阶段,重基础研究、轻成果转化和商业化运作;基础研究多在高校和科研院所,技术创新与市场需求存在一定距离。(2)2009年以来,A股上市公司新质生产力发展水平稳步上升。一方面资本市场通过高质量的信息披露,让市场参与者自行将资金配置到预期较好的项目中;另一方面市场以差异化的估值对科技创新风险进行补偿,使预期表现更好的公司获得更高的估值。(3)上市公司发展新质生产力不分“新”和“老”,新质生产力表现最好的是已上市10年的公司。公司规模越大,融资便利性和风险承担能力越凸显,新质生产力发展水平越高。(4)以计算机、医药制造、软件信息技术、互联网服务等为代表的新质生产力典型行业并购重组规模占市场的15.32%;创业板和科创板并购重组估值更多反映标的的基础资产价值,对标的的成长性反映有待提升;收益法、市场法和资产基础法等价值评估方式对新质生产力的“包容性”有限。基于上述发现,本文从明确企业在创新链条中的主体地位、建立原创性和颠覆性技术孵化基金、鼓励传统产业改造升级和上市公司做大做强、创新并购重组的价值评估方式等方面提出了政策建议。

     

    Abstract: This paper analyzes the achievements and weaknesses of capital market support for the development of new quality productive forces from an enterprise full life cycle perspective, focusing on the differentiated financial needs of enterprises at various stages and the product service system of the multi-level capital market, and proposes targeted future development directions. The research finds: (1) Compared to the U.S. DARPA model and Israel's YOZMA fund model, China's funding and investment in original and disruptive technologies are still in the early stages, with greater emphasis on basic research than on achievement transformation and commercial operations; basic research is predominantly conducted in universities and research institutes, creating a certain distance between technological innovation and market demand. (2) Since 2009, the development level of new quality productive forces among A-share listed companies has steadily increased. On one hand, the capital market enables market participants to allocate funds to projects with better prospects through high-quality information disclosure; on the other hand, the market compensates for technological innovation risks through differentiated valuations, allowing companies with better expected performance to obtain higher valuations. (3) The development of new quality productive forces is not distinguished by "new" or "old" listed companies; companies that have been listed for 10 years demonstrate the best performance in new quality productive forces. Larger companies show higher levels of new quality productive forces development due to greater financing convenience and risk-bearing capacity. (4) Mergers and acquisitions in typical new quality productive forces industries such as computers, pharmaceutical manufacturing, software information technology, and internet services account for 15.32% of the market; valuations of mergers and acquisitions on the ChiNext and STAR Market primarily reflect the value of the target's basic assets, with room for improvement in reflecting growth potential; value assessment methods such as income approach, market approach, and asset-based approach have limited "inclusiveness" for new quality productive forces. Based on these findings, this paper proposes policy recommendations in areas such as clarifying enterprises' principal role in the innovation chain, establishing incubation funds for original and disruptive technologies, encouraging traditional industry transformation and upgrading, supporting listed companies to grow stronger, and innovating valuation methods for mergers and acquisitions.

     

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