吴娜, 魏智佳, 于博. “一带一路”倡议与企业供应链韧性J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (6): 59-70.
引用本文: 吴娜, 魏智佳, 于博. “一带一路”倡议与企业供应链韧性J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (6): 59-70.
Wu Na, Wei Zhijia, Yu Bo. The Belt and Road Initiative and Corporate Supply Chain ResilienceJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (6): 59-70.
Citation: Wu Na, Wei Zhijia, Yu Bo. The Belt and Road Initiative and Corporate Supply Chain ResilienceJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (6): 59-70.

“一带一路”倡议与企业供应链韧性

The Belt and Road Initiative and Corporate Supply Chain Resilience

  • 摘要: 在推动高质量共建“一带一路”走深走实的背景下,厘清参与企业供应链韧性如何变化及内在机理具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文以沪深A股上市公司为样本,手工收集整理企业参与“一带一路”倡议的数据,运用多时点双重差分模型,研究发现参与“一带一路”倡议显著提高了企业供应链韧性。作用机制在于:(1)提高了供应链话语权。沿线国家和地区拥有丰富的关键矿产与能源资源,且其行业竞争相对较小、消费市场的需求弹性大,有助于企业在资源、市场方面获取战略优势;技术标准输出和贸易规则互联互通推动我国企业从国际规则的适应者转向制定者;新型“全球化”倡导加强了我国与共建国家、地区以及全球产业链的关联度,使企业转变为区域供应链的组织者和协调者。(2)提高了供应链效率。海陆空铁多式联运网络大幅削减了运输时间和物流成本,不仅降低了采购方的原材料订货成本,也削弱了出口方高产量和冗余库存策略的负面影响;一体化改革的推进和完善,优化了通关流程,有力保障了货物顺畅中转、及时放行,大幅压缩了货物过关时间和机会成本;数字技术引入实现了物流过程的全程可视化、实时追踪和智能调度,自动补货、需求预测等智能化管理系统运用帮助企业准确把握市场发展趋势、优化生产和库存等关键流程。异质性分析表明,参与“一带一路”倡议对企业供应链韧性的提升作用在非国有企业和制造业企业中更显著。本文丰富了“一带一路”倡议的微观经济后果研究,也为企业增强供应链韧性提供了路径参考。

     

    Abstract: Against the backdrop of promoting high-quality, in-depth, and substantive joint construction of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), clarifying how the supply chain resilience of participating firms changes, along with its underlying mechanisms, holds significant theoretical and practical implications. Using a sample of A-share listed companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, this study manually collects and compiles data on corporate participation in the BRI and employs a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model. We find that participation in the BRI significantly enhances corporate supply chain resilience. The underlying mechanisms operate as follows. First, participation strengthens supply chain discourse power. Countries and regions along the Belt and Road possess abundant critical mineral and energy resources, while featuring relatively low industry competition and high demand elasticity in their consumer markets, thereby helping firms secure strategic advantages in both resources and markets. The export of technical standards and the interconnection of trade rules drive Chinese firms to transition from adapters of international rules to rule-makers. Moreover, the advocacy of a "new globalization" strengthens the linkages between China and partner countries and regions, as well as with global industrial chains, transforming firms into organizers and coordinators of regional supply chains. Second, participation improves supply chain efficiency. Multimodal transport networks integrating sea, land, air, and rail substantially reduce transportation time and logistics costs, lowering not only the raw-material ordering costs of purchasers but also mitigating the adverse effects of high-output and redundant-inventory strategies on the part of exporters. The advancement and refinement of integrated reforms have optimized customs clearance procedures, effectively ensuring the smooth transit and timely release of goods while substantially compressing clearance time and opportunity costs. The introduction of digital technologies enables full-process visualization, real-time tracking, and intelligent scheduling of logistics, while the application of intelligent management systems—such as automatic replenishment and demand forecasting—helps firms accurately grasp market trends and optimize key processes including production and inventory. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the enhancing effect of BRI participation on corporate supply chain resilience is more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises and manufacturing firms. This study enriches research on the micro-level economic consequences of the BRI and provides a pathway reference for firms seeking to strengthen their supply chain resilience.

     

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