朱炜, 张硕, 綦好东, 杨丹. 国有资本经营预算制度如何增强耐心资本配置预期J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (6): 3-13.
引用本文: 朱炜, 张硕, 綦好东, 杨丹. 国有资本经营预算制度如何增强耐心资本配置预期J. 证券市场导报, 2026, (6): 3-13.
Zhu Wei, Zhang Shuo, Qi Haodong, Yang Dan. How the State-Owned Capital Operating Budget System Enhances Expectations for Patient Capital AllocationJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (6): 3-13.
Citation: Zhu Wei, Zhang Shuo, Qi Haodong, Yang Dan. How the State-Owned Capital Operating Budget System Enhances Expectations for Patient Capital AllocationJ. Securities Market Herald, 2026, (6): 3-13.

国有资本经营预算制度如何增强耐心资本配置预期

How the State-Owned Capital Operating Budget System Enhances Expectations for Patient Capital Allocation

  • 摘要: 作为规范政府与国企收益分配关系、优化国有资本布局的重要制度安排,国有资本经营预算制度能否提高国企长期价值创造能力,进而吸引更多耐心资本亟待深入研究。本文以沪深A股央企和民企上市公司为样本,构建多期强度双重差分模型,研究发现国有资本经营预算制度显著增强了耐心资本配置预期,表现为长期机构投资者数量和持股比例均明显提高。作用机制在于:(1)降低代理成本,减少国企可自由支配的资金规模,压缩管理者在资源配置与投资决策中的自由裁量空间,强化管理者的管理责任与风险意识;(2)推动颠覆式创新,持续提高预算资金对关键核心技术突破、前瞻性战略性产业的支持力度,缓解国有企业颠覆式创新活动的资源约束,促进创新质量与创新效率提升。异质性分析表明,在市场化程度、人力资本水平或研发投入强度较高的情况下,国有资本经营预算制度增强耐心资本配置预期的效果更显著。本文为国有企业引入耐心资本、进一步完善国有资本经营预算制度提供了启示。

     

    Abstract: As an important institutional arrangement for regulating the distribution of returns between the government and state owned enterprises (SOEs) and optimizing the layout of state owned capital, whether the state owned capital operating budget system can enhance SOEs' long term value creation capacity and thereby attract more patient capital inflows warrants in depth study. Using a sample of Chinese central State owned and private A share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, this study constructs a multi period intensity based difference in differences model and finds that the state owned capital operating budget system significantly strengthens expectations for patient capital allocation, manifested in marked increases in both the number of long term institutional investors and their shareholding ratios. The underlying mechanisms are as follows: (1) reducing agency costs by curtailing the scale of discretionary funds available to SOEs, curbing managerial discretionary power in resource allocation and investment decisions, and reinforcing managers' managerial responsibility and risk awareness; and (2) promoting disruptive innovation by continuously increasing budgetary support for breakthroughs in key core technologies and forward looking strategic industries, thereby alleviating the resource constraints on SOEs' disruptive innovation activities and enhancing both innovation quality and innovation efficiency. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the state owned capital operating budget system has a more pronounced effect on strengthening expectations for patient capital allocation when the degree of marketization, the level of human capital, or the intensity of R & D investment are higher. This study offers insights for introducing patient capital into SOEs and further refining the state owned capital operating budget system.

     

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