包康赟. 期货及衍生品领域风险跨境传递的市场逻辑与监管应对J. 证券市场导报, 2025, (7): 56-68, 79.
引用本文: 包康赟. 期货及衍生品领域风险跨境传递的市场逻辑与监管应对J. 证券市场导报, 2025, (7): 56-68, 79.
Bao Kangyun. Market Mechanism and Regulatory Response to Cross-Border Risk Transmission in the Futures and Derivatives SectorJ. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (7): 56-68, 79.
Citation: Bao Kangyun. Market Mechanism and Regulatory Response to Cross-Border Risk Transmission in the Futures and Derivatives SectorJ. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (7): 56-68, 79.

期货及衍生品领域风险跨境传递的市场逻辑与监管应对

Market Mechanism and Regulatory Response to Cross-Border Risk Transmission in the Futures and Derivatives Sector

  • 摘要: 期货及衍生品市场是我国推进制度型开放的重点领域。由于交易标的、机制和功能的特殊性,该市场的风险易于跨境传递,更可能形成波及全球的系统性金融风险。基于对历史风险事件的系统梳理可知,场外链式关联、场内集中关联、产品嵌套关联、价格挂钩关联是风险终端与风险中心的四种主要关联方式,对应差异化的风险类型、风险强度和传递路径,也决定了不同的监管逻辑与规则。根据开放条件下的“金融三元悖论”理论,要兼顾一体化与稳定,则不宜实行封闭的监管,需适当提升金融监管的开放性和包容度。在实体性规则方面,应积极对接和引鉴国际合理监管标准;在协调性规则方面,应依托监管尊从与共识机制落实合规豁免制度,在避免监管冲突的同时防范跨境风险的滋生与传递。

     

    Abstract: The futures and derivatives markets are a key area in China's advancement of institutional opening-up. Due to the unique nature of underlying assets, trading mechanisms, and functions, risks originating from the futures and derivatives markets are prone to cross-border transmission and are more likely to lead to systemic financial risks on a global scale. Based on a systematic review of historical risk events, four main types of linkages between risk terminals and risk centers have been identified: OTC chain linkage, on-exchange concentrated linkage, product-nested linkage, and price-pegged linkage. These approaches not only correspond to different risk types, severities, and transmission pathways, but also determine distinct regulatory logics and rules. Referring to the "financial trilemma" theory in an open economy, it is advisable not to implement closed regulation in order to strike a balance between integration and stability; instead, the openness and inclusiveness of financial regulation should be appropriately enhanced. In terms of substantive rules, domestic regulations should actively align with and adopt internationally recognized regulatory standards. In terms of coordinating rules, a compliance exemption system should be implemented based on regulatory deference and consensus mechanism to avoid regulatory conflicts while preventing the breeding and transmission of cross-border risks.

     

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