温博慧, 杨妍, 徐佳翔, 邢雨聪. 场内股权质押、券商关联网络与系统性风险传染J. 证券市场导报, 2025, (5): 50-60, 79.
引用本文: 温博慧, 杨妍, 徐佳翔, 邢雨聪. 场内股权质押、券商关联网络与系统性风险传染J. 证券市场导报, 2025, (5): 50-60, 79.
Wen Bohui, Yang Yan, Xu Jiaxiang, Xin Yucong. Exchange Equity Pledge, Securities Companies Affiliation Networks, and Systemic Risk ContagionJ. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (5): 50-60, 79.
Citation: Wen Bohui, Yang Yan, Xu Jiaxiang, Xin Yucong. Exchange Equity Pledge, Securities Companies Affiliation Networks, and Systemic Risk ContagionJ. Securities Market Herald, 2025, (5): 50-60, 79.

场内股权质押、券商关联网络与系统性风险传染

Exchange Equity Pledge, Securities Companies Affiliation Networks, and Systemic Risk Contagion

  • 摘要: 场内股权质押中,若公司质押的股票价格暴跌,券商作为主要质权人将承受损失,易形成传染性的金融风险。本文基于沪深A股上市公司的场内股权质押业务数据,创新性地构建券商股权质押业务网络,探究券商网络中心性,即券商在股权质押业务网络中的影响力,对券商行业系统性风险的影响。研究表明:(1)在场内股权质押网络中,券商网络中心性提高可能增加券商自身经营风险、加剧券商股价波动、带动降低券商行业风控标准和放大投资者情绪,从而从券商个体和外部环境两方面增强对行业的系统性风险传染。(2)当券商的代理冲突较严重、股市处于下跌行情以及平仓风险较高时,券商网络中心性提高对行业系统性风险的影响更显著。(3)从质押标的看,公司场内质押股票价格触及平仓线,可能触发“预期强化-抛售加速-价格负反馈”的螺旋机制,造成股价在短时间内大幅下跌。并且在融资约束较强、媒体监督力度较弱的公司中,平仓事件对股价的负向冲击更显著。本文对促进场内股权质押业务良性发展、防范化解系统性风险具有参考意义。

     

    Abstract: For the exchange equity pledge, if the price of shares pledged by the company drops sharply, securities companies, as the primary pledgees, will incur losses, probably lead to contagious financial risks. Based on exchange equity pledge business data of A-share listed companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, this paper innovatively constructs a network of equity pledge business of securities companies and examines the impact of network centrality of securities companies, which refers to the influence of a securities company within the equity pledge business network, on systemic risk in the securities company industry. The empirical results are summarized as follows. (1) In the exchange equity pledge network, higher network centrality of securities companies may increase securities companies' operating risk, intensify securities companies' stock price volatility, lower risk control standards in the securities company industry, and amplify investor sentiment, thereby increasing systemic risk contagion of the industry from both individual securities companies and the external environment. (2) The effect of network centrality of securities companies on systemic risk in the industry is more pronounced among securities companies with more severe agency conflict, during market downturns, and under higher margin call risks. (3) From the perspective of the pledged object, the margin call of pledged stock may trigger a spiral mechanism of "reinforced expectation - accelerated sell-off - negative price feedback, " resulting in a sharp decline in stock price over a short period. Furthermore, the negative impact of margin call events on stock prices is more significant for firms facing stronger financing constraints and weaker media supervision. This study provides references for promoting the healthy development of exchange equity pledge business and for preventing and resolving systemic risk.

     

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